Nokia's Symbian Foundation takes a big swipe at Google Android and its Open Handset Alliance, which earlier this week came under fire for reportedly suffering a series of setbacks that could cause delayed releases of Google Android-based devices by several months. Google has since said that its Android plans remain on schedule.
"This is a direct challenge to Google's Android initiative, although somewhat belated," Gold wrote in his analysis of the Symbian Foundation. "I expect this to provide considerable tabulations in the market, although there are a number of steps that need to take place before this transition is completed."
Nokia on Tuesday announced that it has partnered with Sony Ericsson, Motorola and NTT DoCoMo to unite the Symbian operating system, the S60 platform, the UIQ software platform and the MOAP application platform to create the single open source platform. AT&T, LG Electronics, Samsung Electronics, STMicroelectronics, Texas Instruments and Vodafone have also entered the pact to extend a unified software platform.
The Symbian Foundation is a non-profit that will be open to all organizations. Nokia said it plans to contribute its Symbian and S60 software to the foundation, while Sony Ericsson and Motorola will contribute technology from UIQ. NTT DoCoMo has also indicated that it will contribute its MOAP assets.
Nokia said Tuesday that member contributions to the foundation will come through open collaboration and will be integrated to enhance the platform. The foundation will make certain components available as open source at the launch and then work to establish further open source mobile software offerings. Nokia said the software will be available over the next two years and will be released under Eclipse Public License (EPL) 1.0.
Meanwhile, Nokia also announced its intent to acquire the remaining 52 percent stake in Symbian that it doesn't already own for a price tag of roughly $410 million.
While Symbian as a mobile operating system has yet to take off in the U.S., it has had a stronghold in Europe. Some estimates indicate that Symbian holds about two-thirds of the market for smart phone operating systems. Currently, there are more than 200 million phones across 235 models that are based on the Symbian OS, along with tens of thousands of third-party applications available for it.
According to Gold, the Symbian Foundation, which also includes several members of Google's Android initiative, could win out over its chief rival, especially if Symbian makes good on its word to transition from a profit making licensor to an open source provider of a mobile OS that anyone can use on a royalty free basis.
"There is no question that this is a direct challenge to Android and its open source roots," Gold wrote. "Given that a number of platform companies who are founders of the Symbian Foundation are also part of Google's Android program (e.g., Motorola, Samsung), it will be interesting to see if the commitment to Android remains as firm as when Android was first announced and hailed as the next great hope for mobile devices."
Gold said Android's rumored delays, which he estimates could see devices delivered in 2009 as opposed to the second half of this year as Google promised, could have soured some of Android and the Open Handset Alliances more than 30 partners, which includes heavyweights like Sprint, T-Mobile and China Mobile.
"I suspect many of the members of Android who joined in this effort are hedging their bets," Gold noted. "Symbian is a known entity and currently powers the majority of smart phone devices in the marketplace. It is nearly always easier to start from something you know and change it (Symbian), then to start from scratch (Android)."
And while Google Android appears to be the Symbian Foundation's most direct target, Gold said the initiative undertaken by Nokia could have a more profound impact on the mobility market as a whole and other competing operating systems.
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"This move will have major impact on other players in the market as well," Gold wrote. "First, it will affect those platforms looking at Linux as a way to obtain a royalty-free OS to create customized, low cost devices for emerging markets. As the Symbian Foundation moves to a royalty free model, the advantages of Linux become much less clear. This will also have a major impact on Microsoft and its Windows Mobile OS. It may be difficult for Microsoft to continue to justify its relatively high license fees for an OS that competes with a fully featured one that is offered for free."
Gold said he doesn't expect Windows Mobile to just disappear, but noted that Microsoft will have to up the ante and become more competitive if it wants to hold a strong stake in the broader mobile device platform market. Microsoft will have to offer Windows Mobile at a reduced cost, if not free of charge, and focus on making revenue on applications and services instead.
And while Windows Mobile could feel the hit, Gold suggested that Research In Motion''s (RIM) BlackBerry platform is in a much better position to continue its viability and presence in the market.
"The affect on RIM will be much less, as it does not license its BlackBerry OS to other manufacturers, and as such, will not be impacted by a royalty free model, although it will obviously have to compete on features and functions as it attempts to broaden its audience beyond its traditional business user base," Gold said.
Even the Apple iPhone, which has sold six million plus devices to date, is not completely free and clear from the Symbian Foundation taking a slice of the Apple pie.
"Finally the impact on Apple will be small initially as Apple users are very loyal," Gold wrote. "But as equivalent features and functions get added to Symbian-powered devices and the market for devices and solutions providers expands, there is no doubt this will have an impact on iPhone."
Overall, Gold said, no mobile platform maker is immune from the reach of the Symbian Foundation, if Nokia executes its vision correctly. Regardless, the move will have a deep impact on the mobile device market as a whole, first by driving development and enhancements, then lowering the cost of devices by eliminating or drastically decreasing operating system licensing fees.
Gold added that the formation of the Symbian foundation will also fuel increased levels of application deployment as a wider and more compatible device market makes it more attractive for application developers to launch new capabilities without having to worry about supporting a massive number of unique platforms. Gold said he expects the move to also provide a level of consolidation the mobile device and platform market greatly needs. It will also serve as a catalyst for more proliferation of smart phones and platforms in enterprise environments, easing the burden on IT staff that is charged with supporting a host of different platforms.
"It will provide enterprise users with a way to extend their applications to mobile devices more effectively by consolidating the number of platforms they must support, even though many have tried to standardize in the past only to be thwarted by the latest device that caught the eye of the CXO and brought into the organization with the command to make it work," he wrote.
Despite the great potential for the Symbian Foundation to shake up the industry, Gold said the foundation needs momentum to carry out its plans, which will be no easy feat considering the ever-changing environments of the mobility market.
"However, it is important to note, that all of this is predicated on the Symbian Foundation meeting its objectives in a timely and credible fashion," Gold concluded. "That, of course, remains to be seen. I do not expect this to be an easy transition, but ultimately it is one that needs to be made and will be good for the mobile marketplace."