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Taking on Gladwell

Over at 'Knowledge Is Power' EastSight Consulting President Parmelee B. Eastman blogs about our VARBusiness 500 awards speaker Malcom Gladwell, whose new book 'Blink' extols the power of 'thinking without thinking'. Eastman writes:

"In my experience, instinctive decision-making works in a very limited number of instances. And a big problem with those cases is that you don't know which ones are appropriate until the results of the decisions are known. And even then, you cannot be sure which, or if, another decision would have produced superior results."

She goes on to spell out four specific objections to Gladwell's thesis that, for an unbiased expert, 'snap' judgements can provide better results than decisions that take into account much larger sets of data.

I don't think even Gladwell would disagree with these observations. What he does do is provide a framework for appreciating how often those instant judgements are correct. With a hand in planning and building a number of different websites, I hear ideas daily for new elements and designs, that I find I instinctively categorize: Good; Good but not worth the effort; Good for somebody else; Just Plain Bad.

While, as Eastman notes, that gives me little to use to justify my decisions to management, I find it has helped me be confident in my screening process for investigating the best ideas further.

Posted by Joe Caponi at 02:13 PM, July 19, 2006

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By Joe Caponi
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